Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 7.951285 8.955937 10.000353 11.164005 12.421113 13.735156 15.209423
2024-10-27 6.034637 7.402988 8.908803 10.675893 12.679685 14.868647 17.427745
2024-11-03 5.210841 6.802030 8.625502 10.842961 13.439607 16.357831 19.858546
2024-11-10 4.605623 6.348396 8.416582 11.007847 14.123027 17.704325 22.088167
2024-11-17 3.983138 5.791609 8.011414 10.871966 14.395191 18.529541 23.682199
2024-11-24 3.546613 5.415634 7.780739 10.905095 14.834717 19.527139 25.464206
2024-12-01 3.148078 5.045210 7.518179 10.863191 15.153677 20.360148 27.038756
2024-12-08 2.818074 4.732757 7.300308 10.850921 15.488040 21.197933 28.613159
2024-12-15 2.744116 4.768620 7.539441 11.431686 16.579496 22.982552 31.368492
2024-12-22 2.483822 4.510440 7.357249 11.435592 16.914399 23.813997 32.943480
2024-12-29 2.418425 4.533893 7.561395 11.959131 17.931642 25.517491 35.625860
2025-01-05 2.299971 4.464700 7.625824 12.286161 18.688557 26.893612 37.907557
2025-01-12 2.022431 4.127054 7.289449 12.048829 18.691612 27.309306 38.992407
2025-01-19 1.704054 3.691537 6.780031 11.540057 18.304194 27.200315 39.394503
2025-01-26 1.587356 3.581953 6.752394 11.716047 18.852560 28.321626 41.392919
2025-02-02 1.480871 3.479545 6.727579 11.890324 19.396446 29.439505 43.395367
2025-02-09 1.316366 3.256239 6.497506 11.746744 19.483337 29.939948 44.586732
2025-02-16 1.203636 3.116619 6.391672 11.781752 19.818613 30.774123 46.222572
2025-02-23 1.086548 2.955851 6.240142 11.737472 20.033405 31.441707 47.638842
2025-03-02 0.985821 2.816099 6.114095 11.724506 20.288218 32.162374 49.128922
2025-03-09 0.996378 2.905762 6.382929 12.337983 21.470505 34.176185 52.378163
2025-03-16 0.909017 2.780411 6.271675 12.342107 21.749890 34.937355 53.938931
2025-03-23 0.910775 2.847386 6.500143 12.894719 22.851383 36.854899 57.083862